Was ist das eigentlich? Cyberrisiken verständlich erklärt

Es wird viel über Cyberrisiken gesprochen. Oftmals fehlt aber das grundsätzliche Verständnis, was Cyberrisiken überhaupt sind. Ohne diese zu verstehen, lässt sich aber auch kein Versicherungsschutz gestalten.

Beinahe alle Aktivitäten des täglichen Lebens können heute über das Internet abgewickelt werden. Online-Shopping und Online-Banking sind im Alltag angekommen. Diese Entwicklung trifft längst nicht nur auf Privatleute, sondern auch auf Firmen zu. Das Schlagwort Industrie 4.0 verheißt bereits eine zunehmende Vernetzung diverser geschäftlicher Vorgänge über das Internet.

Anbieter von Cyberversicherungen für kleinere und mittelständische Unternehmen (KMU) haben Versicherungen die Erfahrung gemacht, dass trotz dieser eindeutigen Entwicklung Cyberrisiken immer noch unterschätzt werden, da sie als etwas Abstraktes wahrgenommen werden. Für KMU kann dies ein gefährlicher Trugschluss sein, da gerade hier Cyberattacken existenzbedrohende Ausmaße annehmen können. So wird noch häufig gefragt, was Cyberrisiken eigentlich sind. Diese Frage ist mehr als verständlich, denn ohne (Cyber-)Risiken bestünde auch kein Bedarf für eine (Cyber-)Versicherung.

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Cisco Systems Unusual Options Activity

A whale with a lot of money to spend has taken a noticeably bullish stance on Cisco Systems.

Looking at options history for Cisco Systems CSCO they detected 10 strange trades.

If they consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 80% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations and 20% with bearish.

From the overall spotted trades, 7 are puts, for a total amount of $360,324 and 3, calls, for a total amount of $164,198.

What's The Price Target?

Taking into account the Volume and Open Interest on these contracts, it appears that whales have been targeting a price range from $55.0 to $70.0 for Cisco Systems over the last 3 months.

Volume & Open Interest Development

Looking at the volume and open interest is a powerful move while trading options. This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for Cisco Systems's options for a given strike price. Below, they can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of Cisco Systems's whale trades within a strike price range from $55.0 to $70.0 in the last 30 days.

Cisco Systems Option Volume And Open Interest Over Last 30 Days Biggest Options Spotted: Symbol PUT/CALL Trade Type Sentiment Exp. Date Strike Price Total Trade Price Open Interest Volume CSCO PUT SWEEP BULLISH 01/17/25 $60.00 $98.6K 462 136 CSCO CALL SWEEP BULLISH 01/19/24 $62.50 $93.1K 3.3K 600 CSCO PUT TRADE BULLISH 01/17/25 $55.00 $61.3K 1.2K 296 CSCO PUT SWEEP BULLISH 09/15/23 $55.00 $44.3K 6.8K 1.3K CSCO CALL SWEEP BULLISH 11/17/23 $55.00 $41.1K 8.6K 101 Symbol PUT/CALL Trade Type Sentiment Exp. Date Strike Price Total Trade Price Open Interest Volume CSCO PUT SWEEP BULLISH 01/17/25 $60.00 $98.6K 462 136 CSCO CALL SWEEP BULLISH 01/19/24 $62.50 $93.1K 3.3K 600 CSCO PUT TRADE BULLISH 01/17/25 $55.00 $61.3K 1.2K 296 CSCO PUT SWEEP BULLISH 09/15/23 $55.00 $44.3K 6.8K 1.3K CSCO CALL SWEEP BULLISH 11/17/23 $55.00 $41.1K 8.6K 101 Where Is Cisco Systems Standing Right Now?
  • With a volume of 4,709,452, the price of CSCO is up 0.62% at $55.8.
  • RSI indicators hint that the underlying stock may be approaching overbought.
  • Next earnings are expected to be released in 84 days.
  • What The Experts Say On Cisco Systems:
  • Citigroup has decided to maintain their Neutral rating on Cisco Systems, which currently sits at a price target of $55.
  • Deutsche Bank has decided to maintain their Hold rating on Cisco Systems, which currently sits at a price target of $58.
  • Oppenheimer downgraded its action to Outperform with a price target of $58
  • Rosenblatt has decided to maintain their Neutral rating on Cisco Systems, which currently sits at a price target of $59.
  • Piper Sandler has decided to maintain their Neutral rating on Cisco Systems, which currently sits at a price target of $53.
  • Options are a riskier asset compared to just trading the stock, but they have higher profit potential. Serious options traders manage this risk by educating themselves daily, scaling in and out of trades, following more than one indicator, and following the markets closely.

    If you want to stay updated on the latest options trades for Cisco Systems, Benzinga Pro gives you real-time options trades alerts.

    © 2023 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


    Is Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Fairly Valued? An In-depth Analysis

    As of August 17, 2023, Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) stock price is $54.99, showing a daily gain of 3.83% and a 3-month gain of 16.38%. With an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of 2.78, the question arises: is the stock fairly valued? This article aims to answer this question through a comprehensive valuation analysis of Cisco Systems. They encourage you to read on for a deeper understanding of the company's value.

    Company Snapshot

    Cisco Systems is the world's largest provider of networking equipment and one of the largest software companies. It boasts leading market shares in selling networking hardware and software, as well as cybersecurity software like firewalls. Additionally, Cisco Systems offers collaboration products, such as its Webex suite, and observability tools. The company primarily outsources its manufacturing to third parties and has a large sales and marketing staff25,000 strong across 90 countries. Overall, Cisco employs 80,000 employees and sells its products globally. With a market cap of $224.10 billion and a stock price of $54.99, it matches closely with the GF Value of $54.79, indicating that the stock is fairly valued.

    Is Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Fairly Valued? An In-depth Analysis

    Understanding GF Value

    The GF Value is a proprietary measure of a stock's intrinsic value, calculated based on three factors: historical trading multiples, a GuruFocus adjustment factor based on past performance and growth, and future business performance estimates. The GF Value Line represents the fair value at which the stock should ideally be traded. If the stock price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. Conversely, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. Currently, Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) appears to be fairly valued based on the GF Value calculation.

    Story continues

    Is Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Fairly Valued? An In-depth Analysis

    Financial Strength

    Investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss. Therefore, it's important to review a company's financial strength before deciding to buy shares. Cisco Systems has a cash-to-debt ratio of 2.77, which ranks better than 63.19% of companies in the Hardware industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks Cisco Systems's financial strength as 8 out of 10, suggesting a strong balance sheet.

    Is Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Fairly Valued? An In-depth Analysis

    Profitability and Growth

    Investing in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over the long term, is typically less risky. Cisco Systems has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $54.90 billion and Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.78. Its operating margin is 26.48%, which ranks better than 96.82% of companies in the Hardware industry. Overall, the profitability of Cisco Systems is ranked 9 out of 10, indicating strong profitability.

    Growth is a crucial factor in the valuation of a company. Cisco Systems's 3-year average revenue growth rate is worse than 57.65% of companies in the Hardware industry. Its 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 1%, which ranks worse than 67.56% of companies in the Hardware industry.

    ROIC vs WACC

    Comparing a company's return on invested capital (ROIC) to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is another way of determining its profitability. For the past 12 months, Cisco Systems's ROIC is 14.73, and its cost of capital is 10.46, suggesting that the company is creating value for shareholders.

    Is Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Fairly Valued? An In-depth Analysis

    Conclusion

    In conclusion, the stock of Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) appears to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is strong and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks worse than 67.56% of companies in the Hardware industry. To learn more about Cisco Systems stock, you can check out its 30-Year Financials here.

    To find out the high-quality companies that may deliver above-average returns, please check out GuruFocus High Quality Low Capex Screener.

    This article first appeared on GuruFocus.


     




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    Warum sind Cyberrisiken so schwer greifbar?

    Als mehr oder weniger neuartiges Phänomen stellen Cyberrisiken Unternehmen und Versicherer vor besondere Herausforderungen. Nicht nur die neuen Schadenszenarien sind abstrakter oder noch nicht bekannt. Häufig sind immaterielle Werte durch Cyberrisiken in Gefahr. Diese wertvollen Vermögensgegenstände sind schwer bewertbar.

    Obwohl die Gefahr durchaus wahrgenommen wird, unterschätzen viele Firmen ihr eigenes Risiko. Dies liegt unter anderem auch an den Veröffentlichungen zu Cyberrisiken. In der Presse finden sich unzählige Berichte von Cyberattacken auf namhafte und große Unternehmen. Den Weg in die Presse finden eben nur die spektakulären Fälle. Die dort genannten Schadenszenarien werden dann für das eigene Unternehmen als unrealistisch eingestuft. Die für die KMU nicht minder gefährlichen Cyber­attacken werden nur selten publiziert.

    Aufgrund der fehlenden öffentlichen Meldungen von Sicherheitsvorfällen an Sicherheitsbehörden und wegen der fehlenden Presseberichte fällt es schwer, Fakten und Zahlen zur Risikolage zu erheben. Aber ohne diese Grundlage fällt es schwer, in entsprechende Sicherheitsmaßnahmen zu investieren.

    Erklärungsleitfaden anhand eines Ursache-Wirkungs-Modells

    Häufig nähert man sich dem Thema Cyberrisiko anlass- oder eventbezogen, also wenn sich neue Schaden­szenarien wie die weltweite WannaCry-Attacke entwickeln. Häufig wird auch akteursgebunden beleuchtet, wer Angreifer oder Opfer sein kann. Dadurch begrenzt man sich bei dem Thema häufig zu sehr nur auf die Cyberkriminalität. Um dem Thema Cyberrisiko jedoch gerecht zu werden, müssen auch weitere Ursachen hinzugezogen werden.

    Mit einer Kategorisierung kann das Thema ganzheitlich und nachvollziehbar strukturiert werden. Ebenso hilft eine solche Kategorisierung dabei, eine Abgrenzung vorzunehmen, für welche Gefahren Versicherungsschutz über eine etwaige Cyberversicherung besteht und für welche nicht.

    Die Ursachen sind dabei die Risiken, während finanzielle bzw. nicht finanzielle Verluste die Wirkungen sind. Cyberrisiken werden demnach in zwei Hauptursachen eingeteilt. Auf der einen Seite sind die nicht kriminellen Ursachen und auf der anderen Seite die kriminellen Ursachen zu nennen. Beide Ursachen können dabei in drei Untergruppen unterteilt werden.

    Nicht kriminelle Ursachen

    Höhere Gewalt

    Häufig hat man bei dem Thema Cyberrisiko nur die kriminellen Ursachen vor Augen. Aber auch höhere Gewalt kann zu einem empfindlichen Datenverlust führen oder zumindest die Verfügbarkeit von Daten einschränken, indem Rechenzentren durch Naturkatastrophen wie beispielsweise Überschwemmungen oder Erdbeben zerstört werden. Ebenso sind Stromausfälle denkbar.

    Menschliches Versagen/Fehlverhalten

    Als Cyberrisiken sind auch unbeabsichtigtes und menschliches Fehlverhalten denkbar. Hierunter könnte das versehentliche Veröffentlichen von sensiblen Informationen fallen. Möglich sind eine falsche Adressierung, Wahl einer falschen Faxnummer oder das Hochladen sensibler Daten auf einen öffentlichen Bereich der Homepage.

    Technisches Versagen

    Auch Hardwaredefekte können zu einem herben Datenverlust führen. Neben einem Überhitzen von Rechnern sind Kurzschlüsse in Systemtechnik oder sogenannte Headcrashes von Festplatten denkbare Szenarien.

    Kriminelle Ursachen

    Hackerangriffe

    Hackerangriffe oder Cyberattacken sind in der Regel die Szenarien, die die Presse dominieren. Häufig wird von spektakulären Datendiebstählen auf große Firmen oder von weltweiten Angriffen mit sogenannten Kryptotrojanern berichtet. Opfer kann am Ende aber jeder werden. Ziele, Methoden und auch das Interesse sind vielfältig. Neben dem finanziellen Interesse können Hackerangriffe auch zur Spionage oder Sabotage eingesetzt werden. Mögliche Hackermethoden sind unter anderem: Social Engineering, Trojaner, DoS-Attacken oder Viren.

    Physischer Angriff

    Die Zielsetzung eines physischen Angriffs ist ähnlich dem eines Hacker­angriffs. Dabei wird nicht auf die Tools eines Hackerangriffs zurückgegriffen, sondern durch das physische Eindringen in Unternehmensgebäude das Ziel erreicht. Häufig sind es Mitarbeiter, die vertrauliche Informationen stehlen, da sie bereits den notwendigen Zugang zu den Daten besitzen.

    Erpressung

    Obwohl die Erpressung aufgrund der eingesetzten Methoden auch als Hacker­angriff gewertet werden könnte, ergibt eine Differenzierung Sinn. Erpressungsfälle durch Kryptotrojaner sind eines der häufigsten Schadenszenarien für kleinere und mittelständische Unternehmen. Außerdem sind auch Erpressungsfälle denkbar, bei denen sensible Daten gestohlen wurden und ein Lösegeld gefordert wird, damit sie nicht veröffentlicht oder weiterverkauft werden.

    Ihre Cyberversicherung sollte zumindet folgende Schäden abdecken:

    Cyber-Kosten:

    • Soforthilfe und Forensik-Kosten (Kosten der Ursachenermittlung, Benachrichtigungskosten und Callcenter-Leistung)
    • Krisenkommunikation / PR-Maßnahmen
    • Systemverbesserungen nach einer Cyber-Attacke
    • Aufwendungen vor Eintritt des Versicherungsfalls

    Cyber-Drittschäden (Haftpflicht):

    • Befriedigung oder Abwehr von Ansprüchen Dritter
    • Rechtswidrige elektronische Kommunikation
    • Ansprüche der E-Payment-Serviceprovider
    • Vertragsstrafe wegen der Verletzung von Geheimhaltungspflichten und Datenschutzvereinbarungen
    • Vertragliche Schadenersatzansprüche
    • Vertragliche Haftpflicht bei Datenverarbeitung durch Dritte
    • Rechtsverteidigungskosten

    Cyber-Eigenschäden:

    • Betriebsunterbrechung
    • Betriebsunterbrechung durch Ausfall von Dienstleister (optional)
    • Mehrkosten
    • Wiederherstellung von Daten (auch Entfernen der Schadsoftware)
    • Cyber-Diebstahl: elektronischer Zahlungsverkehr, fehlerhafter Versand von Waren, Telefon-Mehrkosten/erhöhte Nutzungsentgelte
    • Cyber-Erpressung
    • Entschädigung mit Strafcharakter/Bußgeld
    • Ersatz-IT-Hardware
    • Cyber-Betrug