Was ist das eigentlich? Cyberrisiken verständlich erklärt

Es wird viel über Cyberrisiken gesprochen. Oftmals fehlt aber das grundsätzliche Verständnis, was Cyberrisiken überhaupt sind. Ohne diese zu verstehen, lässt sich aber auch kein Versicherungsschutz gestalten.

Beinahe alle Aktivitäten des täglichen Lebens können heute über das Internet abgewickelt werden. Online-Shopping und Online-Banking sind im Alltag angekommen. Diese Entwicklung trifft längst nicht nur auf Privatleute, sondern auch auf Firmen zu. Das Schlagwort Industrie 4.0 verheißt bereits eine zunehmende Vernetzung diverser geschäftlicher Vorgänge über das Internet.

Anbieter von Cyberversicherungen für kleinere und mittelständische Unternehmen (KMU) haben Versicherungen die Erfahrung gemacht, dass trotz dieser eindeutigen Entwicklung Cyberrisiken immer noch unterschätzt werden, da sie als etwas Abstraktes wahrgenommen werden. Für KMU kann dies ein gefährlicher Trugschluss sein, da gerade hier Cyberattacken existenzbedrohende Ausmaße annehmen können. So wird noch häufig gefragt, was Cyberrisiken eigentlich sind. Diese Frage ist mehr als verständlich, denn ohne (Cyber-)Risiken bestünde auch kein Bedarf für eine (Cyber-)Versicherung.

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Exam: AVA Accredited Valuation Analyst

Exam Details:
- Number of Questions: The exam consists of multiple-choice questions and case studies.
- Time: Candidates are given a specified amount of time to complete the exam.

Course Outline:
The AVA Accredited Valuation Analyst course is designed to provide candidates with a comprehensive understanding of business valuation principles and practices. The course outline includes the following topics:

1. Introduction to Business Valuation
- Overview of business valuation concepts
- Purpose and approaches to valuation
- Legal and ethical considerations in valuation

2. Financial Statement Analysis
- Understanding financial statements and their relevance in valuation
- Analyzing financial ratios and indicators
- Adjusting financial statements for valuation purposes

3. Valuation Approaches and Methods
- Income approach: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis
- Market approach: Comparable company analysis and transaction analysis
- Asset approach: Adjusted net asset value method

4. Cost of Capital and Discount Rates
- Estimating the cost of equity and debt
- Calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
- Applying discount rates in valuation models

5. Valuation Adjustments and Considerations
- Considering control and marketability discounts
- Evaluating synergies and premiums
- Addressing specific valuation issues and challenges

6. Valuation Report Writing
- Structure and content of a valuation report
- Communicating valuation findings effectively
- Adhering to professional standards and guidelines

Exam Objectives:
The AVA Accredited Valuation Analyst exam aims to assess candidates' knowledge and understanding of business valuation principles and their ability to apply valuation methods and techniques effectively. The exam objectives include:

1. Demonstrating knowledge of business valuation concepts, approaches, and methods.
2. Applying financial statement analysis techniques to assess the financial performance and position of a company.
3. Utilizing appropriate valuation approaches and methods to determine the value of a business or its assets.
4. Understanding and calculating the cost of capital and discount rates for valuation purposes.
5. Incorporating necessary adjustments and considerations in the valuation process.
6. Writing clear, concise, and well-structured valuation reports that meet professional standards.

Exam Syllabus:
The exam syllabus covers the following topics:

- Introduction to Business Valuation
- Overview of business valuation concepts
- Purpose and approaches to valuation
- Legal and ethical considerations in valuation

- Financial Statement Analysis
- Understanding financial statements and their relevance in valuation
- Analyzing financial ratios and indicators
- Adjusting financial statements for valuation purposes

- Valuation Approaches and Methods
- Income approach: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis
- Market approach: Comparable company analysis and transaction analysis
- Asset approach: Adjusted net asset value method

- Cost of Capital and Discount Rates
- Estimating the cost of equity and debt
- Calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
- Applying discount rates in valuation models

- Valuation Adjustments and Considerations
- Considering control and marketability discounts
- Evaluating synergies and premiums
- Addressing specific valuation issues and challenges

- Valuation Report Writing
- Structure and content of a valuation report
- Communicating valuation findings effectively
- Adhering to professional standards and guidelines



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So far in 2023 PDF Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDFS) has had a fantastic start with the share price up nearly 60%. The runup has however caused the valuation to skyrocket and the FWD p/e sits at over 60x. It is very rare for a company to ever be able to justify such a high multiple, and in my opinion, PDFS doesn't do a good enough job doing just that. Estimates are optimistic about the bottom-line growth, but I still find that the downside risks are plenty more than the potentials right now.

Company Segments The market growth for PDFS

Market Growth (Earnings Presentation)

A overview of the company PDFS

Company Overview (Earnings Presentation)

Markets They Are In The TAM that PDFS has

TAM Size (Earnings Presentation)

Earnings Highlights The revenue statement from last report

Revenue Statement (Earnings Report)

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EPS History (Seeking Alpha)

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No result found, try new keyword!AMP valuation has become more expensive, reaching a height of ~9x PB value. 2Q23 financials show positive signs of growth, with strong organic growth in certain segments. When ROE normalizes ...
 


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Warum sind Cyberrisiken so schwer greifbar?

Als mehr oder weniger neuartiges Phänomen stellen Cyberrisiken Unternehmen und Versicherer vor besondere Herausforderungen. Nicht nur die neuen Schadenszenarien sind abstrakter oder noch nicht bekannt. Häufig sind immaterielle Werte durch Cyberrisiken in Gefahr. Diese wertvollen Vermögensgegenstände sind schwer bewertbar.

Obwohl die Gefahr durchaus wahrgenommen wird, unterschätzen viele Firmen ihr eigenes Risiko. Dies liegt unter anderem auch an den Veröffentlichungen zu Cyberrisiken. In der Presse finden sich unzählige Berichte von Cyberattacken auf namhafte und große Unternehmen. Den Weg in die Presse finden eben nur die spektakulären Fälle. Die dort genannten Schadenszenarien werden dann für das eigene Unternehmen als unrealistisch eingestuft. Die für die KMU nicht minder gefährlichen Cyber­attacken werden nur selten publiziert.

Aufgrund der fehlenden öffentlichen Meldungen von Sicherheitsvorfällen an Sicherheitsbehörden und wegen der fehlenden Presseberichte fällt es schwer, Fakten und Zahlen zur Risikolage zu erheben. Aber ohne diese Grundlage fällt es schwer, in entsprechende Sicherheitsmaßnahmen zu investieren.

Erklärungsleitfaden anhand eines Ursache-Wirkungs-Modells

Häufig nähert man sich dem Thema Cyberrisiko anlass- oder eventbezogen, also wenn sich neue Schaden­szenarien wie die weltweite WannaCry-Attacke entwickeln. Häufig wird auch akteursgebunden beleuchtet, wer Angreifer oder Opfer sein kann. Dadurch begrenzt man sich bei dem Thema häufig zu sehr nur auf die Cyberkriminalität. Um dem Thema Cyberrisiko jedoch gerecht zu werden, müssen auch weitere Ursachen hinzugezogen werden.

Mit einer Kategorisierung kann das Thema ganzheitlich und nachvollziehbar strukturiert werden. Ebenso hilft eine solche Kategorisierung dabei, eine Abgrenzung vorzunehmen, für welche Gefahren Versicherungsschutz über eine etwaige Cyberversicherung besteht und für welche nicht.

Die Ursachen sind dabei die Risiken, während finanzielle bzw. nicht finanzielle Verluste die Wirkungen sind. Cyberrisiken werden demnach in zwei Hauptursachen eingeteilt. Auf der einen Seite sind die nicht kriminellen Ursachen und auf der anderen Seite die kriminellen Ursachen zu nennen. Beide Ursachen können dabei in drei Untergruppen unterteilt werden.

Nicht kriminelle Ursachen

Höhere Gewalt

Häufig hat man bei dem Thema Cyberrisiko nur die kriminellen Ursachen vor Augen. Aber auch höhere Gewalt kann zu einem empfindlichen Datenverlust führen oder zumindest die Verfügbarkeit von Daten einschränken, indem Rechenzentren durch Naturkatastrophen wie beispielsweise Überschwemmungen oder Erdbeben zerstört werden. Ebenso sind Stromausfälle denkbar.

Menschliches Versagen/Fehlverhalten

Als Cyberrisiken sind auch unbeabsichtigtes und menschliches Fehlverhalten denkbar. Hierunter könnte das versehentliche Veröffentlichen von sensiblen Informationen fallen. Möglich sind eine falsche Adressierung, Wahl einer falschen Faxnummer oder das Hochladen sensibler Daten auf einen öffentlichen Bereich der Homepage.

Technisches Versagen

Auch Hardwaredefekte können zu einem herben Datenverlust führen. Neben einem Überhitzen von Rechnern sind Kurzschlüsse in Systemtechnik oder sogenannte Headcrashes von Festplatten denkbare Szenarien.

Kriminelle Ursachen

Hackerangriffe

Hackerangriffe oder Cyberattacken sind in der Regel die Szenarien, die die Presse dominieren. Häufig wird von spektakulären Datendiebstählen auf große Firmen oder von weltweiten Angriffen mit sogenannten Kryptotrojanern berichtet. Opfer kann am Ende aber jeder werden. Ziele, Methoden und auch das Interesse sind vielfältig. Neben dem finanziellen Interesse können Hackerangriffe auch zur Spionage oder Sabotage eingesetzt werden. Mögliche Hackermethoden sind unter anderem: Social Engineering, Trojaner, DoS-Attacken oder Viren.

Physischer Angriff

Die Zielsetzung eines physischen Angriffs ist ähnlich dem eines Hacker­angriffs. Dabei wird nicht auf die Tools eines Hackerangriffs zurückgegriffen, sondern durch das physische Eindringen in Unternehmensgebäude das Ziel erreicht. Häufig sind es Mitarbeiter, die vertrauliche Informationen stehlen, da sie bereits den notwendigen Zugang zu den Daten besitzen.

Erpressung

Obwohl die Erpressung aufgrund der eingesetzten Methoden auch als Hacker­angriff gewertet werden könnte, ergibt eine Differenzierung Sinn. Erpressungsfälle durch Kryptotrojaner sind eines der häufigsten Schadenszenarien für kleinere und mittelständische Unternehmen. Außerdem sind auch Erpressungsfälle denkbar, bei denen sensible Daten gestohlen wurden und ein Lösegeld gefordert wird, damit sie nicht veröffentlicht oder weiterverkauft werden.

Ihre Cyberversicherung sollte zumindet folgende Schäden abdecken:

Cyber-Kosten:

  • Soforthilfe und Forensik-Kosten (Kosten der Ursachenermittlung, Benachrichtigungskosten und Callcenter-Leistung)
  • Krisenkommunikation / PR-Maßnahmen
  • Systemverbesserungen nach einer Cyber-Attacke
  • Aufwendungen vor Eintritt des Versicherungsfalls

Cyber-Drittschäden (Haftpflicht):

  • Befriedigung oder Abwehr von Ansprüchen Dritter
  • Rechtswidrige elektronische Kommunikation
  • Ansprüche der E-Payment-Serviceprovider
  • Vertragsstrafe wegen der Verletzung von Geheimhaltungspflichten und Datenschutzvereinbarungen
  • Vertragliche Schadenersatzansprüche
  • Vertragliche Haftpflicht bei Datenverarbeitung durch Dritte
  • Rechtsverteidigungskosten

Cyber-Eigenschäden:

  • Betriebsunterbrechung
  • Betriebsunterbrechung durch Ausfall von Dienstleister (optional)
  • Mehrkosten
  • Wiederherstellung von Daten (auch Entfernen der Schadsoftware)
  • Cyber-Diebstahl: elektronischer Zahlungsverkehr, fehlerhafter Versand von Waren, Telefon-Mehrkosten/erhöhte Nutzungsentgelte
  • Cyber-Erpressung
  • Entschädigung mit Strafcharakter/Bußgeld
  • Ersatz-IT-Hardware
  • Cyber-Betrug